Contrarianville  

Go Back   Contrarianville > Contrarianville > Gambling Forum

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Old 10-19-2009, 10:37 PM   #1
MoneyLine
Not 1st? You're Last
 
MoneyLine's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,220
Reputation: 39
MoneyLine has disabled reputation
Default Golf Silly Season 2009

This event, which starts tomorrow, is about as silly as it gets.
MoneyLine is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-19-2009, 10:41 PM   #2
jwsherjr
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 523
Reputation: 27
jwsherjr is on a distinguished road
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyLine View Post
This event, which starts tomorrow, is about as silly as it gets.
Which is why I had ~2.5 units risked on it by Monday at noon.

Also, I'm not sure how it was possible to avoid Bobby Allenby this week. That price is not in line AT ALL with comparable players in the field and he is showing signs of actually making putts lately. Also liked Karlsson and Kaymer, but talked myself out of those because of injury questions.
jwsherjr is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 10-19-2009, 10:43 PM   #3
MoneyLine
Not 1st? You're Last
 
MoneyLine's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,220
Reputation: 39
MoneyLine has disabled reputation
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jwsherjr View Post
Which is why I had ~2.5 units risked on it by Monday at noon.

Also, I'm not sure how it was possible to avoid Bobby Allenby this week. That price is not in line AT ALL with comparable players in the field and he is showing signs of actually making putts lately. Also liked Karlsson and Kaymer, but talked myself out of those because of injury questions.
5 Dimes has Glover/Cink to win at -115/-105. How do your numbers feel about that?
MoneyLine is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-19-2009, 10:52 PM   #4
jwsherjr
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 523
Reputation: 27
jwsherjr is on a distinguished road
Default

I have -127/127 as the fair line. Though about that, but I had the edge(~2.5%) on that bet as slightly less than the edge on just Glover(~2.9%), so I went with that. I think they are both probably good bets.
jwsherjr is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 10-20-2009, 10:24 AM   #5
MoneyLine
Not 1st? You're Last
 
MoneyLine's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,220
Reputation: 39
MoneyLine has disabled reputation
Default

I had no clue they were playing in Bermuda this year and thus teeing off so early. Whatever, follow it here:

http://www.pga.com/grandslam/2009/scoring/
MoneyLine is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-20-2009, 11:43 AM   #6
MoneyLine
Not 1st? You're Last
 
MoneyLine's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,220
Reputation: 39
MoneyLine has disabled reputation
Default

The Greek has their list of match-ups posted but no lines. Leans:

Kaymer over Cabrera

Perez over Romero
Sutherland over Bubba
MoneyLine is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-20-2009, 12:12 PM   #7
jwsherjr
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 523
Reputation: 27
jwsherjr is on a distinguished road
Default

I was just going to mention that Kaymer-Cabrera line. Fading Angel at two tournaments in one week is awesome.

Not sure about the other two. Love Sutherland for this course, but he did lose in a playoff last year. I'm sure that will affect the line more than it should. Perez and Romero looks like a wash to me as I think both will be better going forward than they were this season. I guess since it will probably open -110/-110 I would lean to Perez.

Last edited by jwsherjr; 10-20-2009 at 12:17 PM.
jwsherjr is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 10-20-2009, 01:21 PM   #8
jwsherjr
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 523
Reputation: 27
jwsherjr is on a distinguished road
Default

Already put in Allenby over Willett for a double. For one thing, I got it at -110 at the Greek when it was -125 at 5dimes. Other than that Willett is a nice talent, but two straight top ten finishes are making an unreasonable price, in my opinion.

Going to wait on Kaymer and possibly Karlsson and look into how guys with long injury layoffs played after coming back.
jwsherjr is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 10-20-2009, 02:06 PM   #9
MoneyLine
Not 1st? You're Last
 
MoneyLine's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,220
Reputation: 39
MoneyLine has disabled reputation
Default

It's pretty hilarious that TNT is going to televise this thing on a couple hour delay. The only people who could possibly care about this 4-some are the gamblers, and you can bet your ass that we all already know what happened today.
MoneyLine is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-20-2009, 04:37 PM   #10
jwsherjr
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 523
Reputation: 27
jwsherjr is on a distinguished road
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyLine View Post
This event, which starts tomorrow, is about as silly as it gets.
I would have agreed with you, until I found the format for next week's European Tour Event. Are you kidding me? This is going to be a debacle:

http://www.europeantour.com/default....078&infosid=27
jwsherjr is online now   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:26 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2010, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.